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Print table
Royal Dutch Shell plc analysts' consensus estimates
Financial figures in million US-Dollar
(except where indicated differently)
Last update on 25/05/2016
 RangeQ2 2016 EFY 2016 EFY 2017 EFY 2018 E
Earnings by segment (excluding identified items)
Integrated Gas - Consensus 4,782 6,654 8,486 
  - Lowest 3,127 3,011 6,759 
  - Highest 6,338 9,811 10,779 
  - Number of analysts participating 
            
Upstream - Consensus -2,342 2,892 6,363 
  - Lowest -4,098 789 3,500 
  - Highest 460 8,091 14,271 
  - Number of analysts participating 
            
Downstream (CCS basis) - Consensus 7,946 7,372 7,022 
  - Lowest 5,926 5,200 5,360 
  - Highest 9,376 9,447 8,859 
  - Number of analysts participating 
            
of which Oil Products (CCS basis) - Consensus 6,497 6,018 5,630 
  - Lowest 5,300 3,900 4,400 
  - Highest 7,687 6,992 6,408 
  - Number of analysts participating 
            
of which Chemicals (CCS basis) - Consensus 1,636 1,627 1,573 
  - Lowest 1,271 1,077 1,065 
  - Highest 2,019 2,455 2,451 
  - Number of analysts participating 
            
Operating Income - Consensus 10,387 16,918 21,871 
  - Lowest 7,188 12,539 17,700 
  - Highest 14,609 25,522 32,644 
  - Number of analysts participating 
            
Corporate - Consensus -709 -985 -1,049 
  - Lowest -2,439 -3,232 -3,327 
  - Highest -4 -17 193 
  - Number of analysts participating 
            
Non-controlling interest - Consensus -218 -253 -295 
  - Lowest -315 -600 -700 
  - Highest -57 -15 -54 
  - Number of analysts participating 
            
CCS earnings - Consensus 9,216 15,590 20,399 
  - Lowest 4,948 10,400 13,800 
  - Highest 13,752 26,360 34,032 
  - Number of analysts participating 12 12 10 
 
Earnings per share
Weighted average number of shares (in million) - Consensus 7,834 8,088 8,088 
  - Lowest 7,248 7,780 7,546 
  - Highest 8,077 8,270 8,342 
  - Number of analysts participating 11 11 
            
CCS earnings per share excluding identified items - Consensus 1.16 1.93 2.53 
  - Lowest 0.63 1.27 1.67 
  - Highest 1.70 3.31 4.51 
  - Number of analysts participating 12 12 10 
 
Dividend per Share
Dividend per Share - Consensus 1.88 1.88 1.89 
  - Lowest 1.88 1.88 1.88 
  - Highest 1.88 1.88 1.94 
  - Number of analysts participating 12 11 
 
Cashflow
Net cash from operating activities - Consensus 29,067 41,559 48,036 
  - Lowest 22,800 33,332 41,700 
  - Highest 38,439 51,241 60,427 
  - Number of analysts participating 11 11 10 
 
Price assumptions
Oil price assumption Brent ($/bbl) - Consensus 42.5 56.7 64.7 
  - Lowest 38.0 45.0 48.0 
  - Highest 50.0 70.0 80.0 
  - Number of analysts participating 10 
            
Oil price assumption WTI ($/bbl) - Consensus 42.0 50.0 60.0 
  - Lowest 42.0 50.0 60.0 
  - Highest 42.0 50.0 60.0 
  - Number of analysts participating 
            
Henry Hub price assumption ($/mmbtu) - Consensus 2.46 2.85 3.08 
  - Lowest 2.19 2.10 2.13 
  - Highest 2.80 3.50 4.00 
  - Number of analysts participating 
Research analysts who would like to be included in the Analysts' Consensus Estimates for Royal Dutch Shell plc should submit their latest estimates and research reports to Vara Research via the following email address: info@vararesearch.de. By contacting Vara in this way, unless otherwise specified in the email, analysts will be deemed to have consented to their estimates being included in the Analysts' Consensus Estimates and their name, their employer's name and the date of their estimates being displayed on this sub-site.
 
Vara will exclude from the Analysts' Consensus Estimates estimates which were produced by analysts who are anonymous, have never provided a supporting research report and / or have not given their permission for their estimates to be included in the Analysts' Consensus Estimates.
 
Last update on 25/05/2016
Estimates from the following institutions were included in the above figures (the dates of the estimates are provided in square brackets):
AB Bernstein [23/05/2016]; Barclays [05/05/2016]; BoA Merrill Lynch [05/05/2016]; Canaccord [05/05/2016]; Degroof-Petercam [13/05/2015]; Exane BNP Paribas [10/05/2016]; ISI Evercore [05/05/2016]; Jefferies [05/05/2016]; Liberum Capital [12/05/2016]; Oddo&Cie [05/05/2016]; Santander [25/05/2016]; Société Générale [04/05/2016] and UBS [05/05/2016]
 
Disclaimer
The Analysts' Consensus Estimates for Royal Dutch Shell plc provided above are for informational purposes only and are provided only for the convenience of Shell's investors. Shell has engaged Vara Research GmbH to survey analysts that cover Royal Dutch Shell plc and to provide us with Analysts' Consensus Estimates for Royal Dutch Shell plc. The Analysts' Consensus Estimates are not Shell-prepared estimates, forecasts, predictions or projections. Shell has had no involvement in the preparation of the Analysts' Consensus Estimates or in any analyst's estimate that may have formed part of the Analysts' Consensus Estimates. Shell does not endorse or approve the Analysts' Consensus Estimates or any underlying analyst's estimate that may have formed part of the Analysts' Consensus Estimates. Shell is not adopting the Analysts' Consensus Estimates and the Analysts' Consensus Estimates have not been reviewed or reported on in accordance with the requirements of Rule 28­.­1(a) of the City Code on Takeovers and Mergers. Moreover, investors are warned that reliance on the Analysts' Consensus Estimates as part of their investment decision could results in a loss, especially if Royal Dutch Shell plc fails to meet the Analysts Consensus Estimates. Furthermore, Shell provides no assurance with regard to the accuracy or correctness of the Analysts' Consensus Estimates.